Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.036866 0.039831 0.042944 0.046461 0.050330 0.054461 0.059215
2025-03-23 0.031820 0.035952 0.040528 0.045993 0.052368 0.059598 0.068463
2025-03-30 0.028412 0.033185 0.038689 0.045544 0.053912 0.063863 0.076700
2025-04-06 0.025629 0.030726 0.036793 0.044610 0.054508 0.066748 0.083224
2025-04-13 0.024092 0.029553 0.036237 0.045115 0.056735 0.071626 0.092473
2025-04-20 0.022605 0.028279 0.035393 0.045093 0.058166 0.075456 0.100535
2025-04-27 0.021585 0.027496 0.035075 0.045665 0.060333 0.080325 0.110325
2025-05-04 0.020388 0.026383 0.034219 0.045406 0.061284 0.083512 0.117906
2025-05-11 0.019366 0.025424 0.033489 0.045233 0.062287 0.086773 0.125790
2025-05-18 0.018415 0.024498 0.032731 0.044945 0.063059 0.089696 0.133334
2025-05-25 0.017619 0.023736 0.032144 0.044840 0.064059 0.092979 0.141659
2025-06-01 0.016722 0.022779 0.031221 0.044171 0.064138 0.094815 0.147747
2025-06-08 0.015815 0.021771 0.030183 0.043282 0.063835 0.096054 0.152999
2025-06-15 0.015112 0.021022 0.029480 0.042854 0.064212 0.098388 0.160303
2025-06-22 0.014468 0.020327 0.028819 0.042441 0.064572 0.100691 0.167719
2025-06-29 0.013754 0.019496 0.027910 0.041582 0.064136 0.101608 0.172680
2025-07-06 0.013430 0.019231 0.027842 0.042046 0.065901 0.106374 0.185155
2025-07-13 0.013008 0.018797 0.027491 0.042027 0.066837 0.109745 0.195276
2025-07-20 0.012741 0.018588 0.027477 0.042552 0.068727 0.114930 0.209419
2025-07-27 0.012317 0.018116 0.027023 0.042314 0.069261 0.117672 0.218910
2025-08-03 0.011936 0.017695 0.026631 0.042155 0.069915 0.120668 0.229194
2025-08-10 0.011554 0.017257 0.026191 0.041890 0.070354 0.123272 0.238887
2025-08-17 0.011229 0.016896 0.025861 0.041794 0.071090 0.126489 0.250208